The sixth edition of the Global Perspectives Offshore Pipeline & Control Line Market Report to 2015, published by Infield Systems, offers a comprehensive analysis into this key sector of the offshore oil and gas industry. Analytical focus is given to the specific core market segments: SURF, Conventional, Trunk/Export and Umbilical alongside a region by region assessment that highlights the effect of macroeconomic forces have on pipeline development. In addition to the forecasts, case studies are provided for key pipeline projects.
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Emerging out of global recession, an environment of more accessible financial liquidity and fewer investment risks have enabled operators to regain the necessary confidence to once again push the boundaries of offshore exploration and production. Simultaneously, greater macroeconomic stability and cross-border participation is helping to support plans for pipeline networks across regions. Over the 2011-2015 period the global combined pipeline and control line market is expected to reach almost 90,000km. European installations dominate demand, where export/trunk lines are expected to comprise the largest market share; higher than the combined forecast pipeline installation offshore Latin America and Australasia in the same timeframe. Increased macroeconomic stability accompanied by oil price growth has also resulted in development plans for Europe's pan-national pipeline networks to finally make progress, with the first of Nord Stream's lines expected to become fully operational by the end of this year.
Asia is forecast to be the second largest market for pipeline installations, representing 17% of Capex demand. The region is dominated by conventional pipelines, driven by the significant proportion of shallow water developments. Africa is expected to encompass 16% of Capex demand over the period, the largest share of which is forecast to be directed towards installations offshore Angola. The greatest market share in terms of market segment in the region is forecast to be SURF installations, comprising 66% of demand, and reflecting the growth in deepwater activity. Political instability in the North African region however is likely to impact upon pipeline project timescales over the forthcoming period.
Although remaining the smallest region for pipeline development, the longer term prospects for Australia, in particular the North West Coast, remain encouraging. This is to centre around the SURF and trunk/export line markets, resulting from significant deepwater development and installations of subsea tiebacks to existing infrastructure.
Latin America represents a larger proportion of global capital expenditure compared to the global proportion of kilometres installed in the same period. This predominately results from the prevalence of deepwater installations, combined with the preferred use of flexible lines by regional giant Petrobras.
Gulf of Mexico developments will continue to dominate the US' region's pipeline demand. The majority of these developments are to be associated with the large number of subsea tiebacks on floating developments. The greatest of these is in terms of kilometres installed is forecast to be on the Jack/St Malo development; to be comprised of three subsea centres tied back to a hub production facility.
The Middle East is expected to form 12% of global pipeline and control line installations over the 2011-2015 timeframe. Iranian developments remain central to the expansion of the region's offshore sector, whilst the greatest numbers of projects associated with one field are to be located on North Pars, where Iran aims to produce over 35 Tcf of gas over the following 35 years. Significant pipeline expenditure is also expected to be directed towards Azerbaijan, whilst significant industry attention is also being paid to prospective developments offshore Israel, where the Tamar natural gas field is estimated to hold up to 9 Tcf of gas is forecast to commence production at the end of 2012.
All seven regions are expected to witness substantial increases in umbilical control line, power lines and communications line installations, whilst Europe is expected to continue to lead the way in installations overall. Compared to the pipeline market where Norway and the UK share 50% of the market over the following five years, Infield expects Norway to be a clear leader, holding 43% of expected demand for control lines over the period.
Report Contents
- Executive Summary Presents an overview of the pipeline and control line sector, outlining the key themes of this years' report on a regional and sectorial basis.
- Global Market Overview Reviews the drivers behind the global offshore oil and gas business including current oil market supply and demand fundamentals, and oil price trends. This section also provides a comprehensive analysis of geopolitical issues in the Middle East and North Africa and its impact on the supply of price of oil.
- Sector Analysis Provides a more in depth analysis of the drivers behind the pipeline and control line market, looking at Subsea Development within the Northwest European Continental Shelf region, European Energy Security, the increasing market diversification within the African market, continued growth in frontier developments offshore Australasia and Asia's rising energy demands. This section also presents an update on the supply-side dynamics of the pipelay vessel market.
- Regional Analysis and Forecast In keeping with the Global Perspectives series, the regional section of this report remains central, examining the seven key regions in turn. For each region Infield Systems presents a forecast for the 2006-2015 period by country, both in terms of kilometres installed and capital expenditure invested, for the pipeline and control line markets. Following from this the water depth of installations is also presented, alongside the expected diameter of installations taking place. A forecast by market segment and type are also highlighted, with pipelines divided by SURF, Conventional and Trunk/export lines whilst Control line forecasts are presented in terms of Communications, Power Line and Umbilicals.
- Sector Forecasts Infield Systems examine in greater detail pipelines by region and market segment, separating out SURF, Conventional and Trunk/Export lines, in addition to presenting the flexible and rigid pipeline market in terms water depth and diameter groups. Control lines are analysed in terms of region, type i.e. umbilical, seismic cable, power line, Electric Trace Heating and Communications. The umbilical market is further sub-divided into water depth, diameter and type. Infield Systems then brings together the total kilometres and capital expenditures for the Pipeline and Control Line markets in the Combined Forecast sub-section.
- Appendices and Notes Contains the latest maps and key project case studies taking place over the following five years.
Why You Should Buy This Report
- The report contains data development by Infield Systems' market modeling process, OFFPEX, which is based on a unique "bottom up approach" to forecasting. OFFPEX's component by component and project by project forecasting process is robust and has a proven track record.
- The reader is given a comprehensive presentation of the pipeline and control line markets through an analysis on a country-by-country basis, both in terms of total kilometres expected to be installed and forecasted capex spend.
- Detailed sector analysis, sub-diving the control line and pipeline markets in terms of market segment, water depth and diameter groups enables the reader to gain a clear insight into the precise drivers of market demand across the globe and the types of installations contractors may expect to see more of.
Pipelines Online
Purchasers of the Global Perspectives Offshore Pipelines & Control Lines Market Report To 2015 receive 12 months access a database of major offshore pipeline, control line and umbilical projects from the current year and forward four years, worldwide. The projects included in Pipelines Online are as follows:
- Trunklines of 50 Km in length and over
- Flowlines of 12.5Km in length and over and 16" diameter and greater
- Umbilicals & Control Lines of 25Km in length and over
Pipelines Online is a subset of the Pipelines and Control Lines Data Sets of the Offshore Energy Database, which tracks over 48,000 pipelines and flowlines and 16,000 umbilicals, worldwide which range from one inch one metre jumper flowlines though to the major intercontinental export lines. Upgrades to include other pipeline and control line projects are available upon request.
For each Pipeline project the following information is provided
- Region
- Country
- Operator Name
- Pipeline Route
- Project Status
- Pipeline Diameter (Inches)
- Pipeline Length (Metres)
- Buried, Surface or Trench Lay
- Product
- Date/Year Pipeline Laid
- Pipeline Water Depth (Metres)
- Pipeline Type (Steel, Flexible, Stainless Steel)
- Pipeline Tube Type (see above)
- Pipeline Weight Coat
- Pipeline Lay Vessel Type
For each Control & Umbilical Line project the following information is provided:
- Region
- Country
- Operator Name, address and contract details
- Control Line Route
- Project Status
- Control line Length (Metres)
- Buried, Surface or Trench Lay
- Date/Year Control line Laid
- Control line Water Depth (Metres)
- Control line Type
- Control Line Line Type
By subscribing to Pipelines Online you will receive
- A three user single site licence for the period of 12 months.
- Access to the latest published data set
- Unlimited access to the data through InfieldLive
- Ability to download the complete data set to MS Excel, MS Access etc. or to interrogate the information online, save online queries
- Support, assistance and advice on getting the most from your subscription
Quentin D'A Whitfield
Director | Infield Systems Limited
Telephone: +44 20 7423 5001 (direct) | +44 20 7423 5000 (s/board) | +44 7768 570 850 (cell)
Email: quentin.whitfield@infield.com | Website: http://www.infield.com